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Saskatchewan budget projects $2.6 billion deficit this year, no balance until 2026-27

The Saskatchewan Provincial Budget was dropped Tuesday, with an anticipated $2.6 Billion deficit along with it.

In the province’s budget address, it was announced that the Government, on this plan, would see a balanced budget in 2026-27, with the deficit being lowered in increments through that time. The increments include deficits of $1.7 billion in 2022-23, $1.2 billion in 2023-24, and $770 million in 2024-25.  A return to balance is expected in 2026-27.

In total, revenue would be up to $14.5 Billion, up 6.1 per cent from the original budget. However, the expense is up 6.3 per cent to $17.1 billion from the 2020-21 budget.

The budget, along with its increases in expenses, come in the wake of COVID-19’s continuing impact on the province’s economy, something Finance Minister Donna Harpauer says is the largest financial challenge facing Saskatchewan since World War II.

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She notes that these financial projects are based on the vaccine rollout “going as planned,” basically meaning that the majority of residents are getting their shot by September.

It’s also based on some key assumptions from 2020-21, including a 3.4 per cent increase in Real GDP after a decrease of 4.2 in 2020, the WTI oil price being at $54.33 US per barrel, Potash at $191 US per KCI tonne, the Canadian dollar at 79 cents U.S. and an increase of 3.2 per cent in retail sales.

Record investments in health coming the budget, province promises

By in large, the province is investing in health with the most capital. This year they are investing $6.5 billion into healthcare, up 5.8 per cent from the last budget, and includes the Ministry of Health, SHA, Saskatchewan Cancer Agency and 3SHealth.

Of that, $6.12 billion is going to will be disturbed to the Ministry of Health, $458 million for mental health and addictions service programs and $90 million to the continued COVID-19 response, for things like mass vaccine rollout, more PPE, expansion of contact tracing, the provincial laboratory and testing sites.

Education second-largest provincial investment this budget

After health, education is the second-largest investment by the province, with a total of$3.75 billion going to Pre-K to Grade 12, Post Secondary and Career schooling.

Of that, Saskatchewan’s 27 school divisions will get $1.96 billion, including a 2 per cent salary increase as agreed upon in the teachers collective bargaining agreement.

Child care funding is also up to $75.5 million and the Ministry of Advanced Education will receive and invest $735 million into post secondaries and their students who’ve been significantly challenged by the pandemic.

Another $60 million will be invested over the next two years, beyond a typical base budget, so that they can execute a collaboratively designed plan with post secondaries looking at COVID-19 recovery, revenue generation and sector collaboration.

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The budget also advises increasing the Education Property Tax to bump up the province’s revenue for education, both elementary and high school. It’s a $12 million increase across the province and totals out to 4.46 per cent for residential properties, 6.75 per cent for commercial and industrial and 9.79 per cent for resource properties. That averages out to about an increase of $18 per homeowner per year.

Social Service, Capital project, Pandemic Spending, also up this budget

The province is also bringing up social services spending this year, to a total of $1.56 billion.

Of that, they’ll be $1.34 billion going to the Ministry of Social Services, over $3.5 million in additional funding for the Seniors Income Plan, a $19-million bump to the Saskatchewan Assured Income for Disability program and $6.7 million to third-party service providers.

This includes a $4.2 million increase for service providers who work with people with intellectual disabilities and a $2.5 million increase for those supporting at-risk children, youth and families.

Other spending in this budget listed as COVID support was $488 million in capital spending, $174 million for the SaskPower rebate, $285 million for SGI rebate, $200 million to clean up inactive oil wells, $66 million for the home renovation tax credit and $64 million small business tax reduction.

Over 3.1 Billion was pledged for several infrastructure building projects, including but not limited to $830 million for roads and highways, $162 million for health care capital, $33.1 million for municipal infrastructure and 189.9 million for education.

Two new taxes being introduced

Two taxes have been introduced in this budget, the Vapour Products Tax and an Annual Tax on electric vehicles.

The $150 annual tax for electric car owners would be on passenger electric vehicles, and while the government says the amount of these drivers is relatively low on Saskatchewan roads, they are not contributing to highway maintenance through the Fuel tax, hence the new fee, which will take effect on October 1, 2021.

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For the VPT, it will introduce a new 20 per cent on the retail price of all vapour liquids, products and devices.

Finance Minister Donna Harpauer says that while the deficit is larger than expected, these moves being made will protect Saskatchewan as it comes out of the pandemic and recovers from it.

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